Virtus vs Žalgiris – prediction, odds & preview
The analyst says
Virtus are 4-3 (avg 86.6:86.9) this season and Žalgiris 2-4 (avg 81.7:86.2). Going by both teams' averages, the expected combined score is around 171. Bookmakers favour Žalgiris (63% by the odds). In our game the favourite pays 150 pts and the upset 260 pts.
Detailed match preview
Overview
Virtus (7 in the table, 4–3) host Žalgiris (14 in the table, 2–4) in Round 8 of the EuroLeague, Wednesday, 28.10.2026 · 20:30 CET.
Offence vs defence
Virtus score 86.6 and allow 86.9 points per game (offence #10, defence #9 in the league). Žalgiris score 81.7 and allow 86.2 (offence #18, defence #8). Crossing each side's offence with the other's defence gives an estimate of how the game may flow from season averages (expected total around 171 points, and Virtus has the edge). It is a statistical estimate of direction, not a score prediction.
Form
Virtus are 4–1 in their last 5. Žalgiris are 1–4 in their last 5 and are on a 2-game losing streak.
Home court and road form
Virtus are 2–0 at home. Žalgiris are 2–2 on the road.
Head-to-head
This is the first meeting of these two teams this season in our records.
Odds and chances
By the odds the favourite is Žalgiris with a 63% chance (odds 2.60 / 1.50). In our game the favourite pays 150 pts and the upset 260 pts. Interesting: season averages tilt slightly towards Virtus, so this game could be an upset candidate of the round.
Key factors
- Big gap in the table: Virtus is placed much higher.
- Virtus are unbeaten at home (2–0).
- Odds and form disagree – a possible upset.
The analysis is automatic and based on results and odds in our data – for fun in the game, not advice.
Team comparison
| Virtus | Žalgiris | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Table position | #14 |
| 4–3 | Record | 2–4 |
| 86.6 | Points scored / game | 81.7 |
| 86.9 | Points allowed / game | 86.2 |
| -0.3 | Point diff / game | -4.5 |
| #10 / #9 | Offence / defence (rank) | #18 / #8 |
| 2–0 home | Home / away | 2–2 away |
| 4–1 | Last 5 | 1–4 |
| 2–1 | Close games (≤ 5) | 0–2 |
Regular-season stats before this game.
Roster and player form
Virtus
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | PIR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliou Diarra #31 Center | 19.9 | 11.8 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 18.8 |
| Marcus Carr #2 Guard | 22.7 | 14.7 | 1.5 | 5.8 | 15.2 |
| Wendell Moore #8 Guard | 24.5 | 13.2 | 5.3 | 1 | 14 |
| Derrick Alston Jr. #21 Forward | 21.9 | 12.8 | 2 | 1.5 | 9.3 |
| Kessler Edwards #9 Forward | 22.4 | 4 | 5.5 | 0.7 | 7.7 |
| Mouhamet Diouf #35 Center | 13.4 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 7.3 |
Top by PIR: Aliou Diarra · leading scorer: Marcus Carr (14.7 pts).
Žalgiris
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | PIR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Valanciunas #17 Center | 20.5 | 10.2 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 18.3 |
| Azuolas Tubelis #10 Forward | 23.6 | 11.3 | 5.5 | 2 | 14.5 |
| Carsen Edwards #3 Guard | 23.9 | 17.2 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 12.7 |
| Sterling Brown #0 Guard | 19 | 10.8 | 2.5 | 1 | 10.2 |
| Marius Grigonis #40 Guard | 17.6 | 7.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 8 |
| Edgaras Ulanovas #92 Forward | 16.2 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6.3 |
Top by PIR: Jonas Valanciunas · leading scorer: Carsen Edwards (17.2 pts).
Season per-game averages (EuroLeague stats; PIR = performance index rating).
Odds & predictions
Chance by the odds
Odds: 2.60 / 1.50
Our community's picks
Community picks are revealed when the game starts – until then they stay hidden so nobody is influenced.
Points in the game: Virtus +260 · Žalgiris +150
Team form
VirtusRecord 4–3 · avg 86.6:86.9
Head-to-head this season
This is the first meeting of these two teams in our records this season.
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